Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.433859 0.479576 0.528701 0.585516 0.649543 0.719610 0.802287
2025-06-22 0.354151 0.416018 0.487357 0.576133 0.684242 0.812373 0.976844
2025-06-29 0.309424 0.378285 0.461485 0.570257 0.709946 0.884983 1.123550
2025-07-06 0.269307 0.339479 0.427373 0.546797 0.706749 0.916325 1.216257
2025-07-13 0.249866 0.323747 0.419345 0.553880 0.741183 0.997014 1.380414
2025-07-20 0.233663 0.310154 0.412009 0.559908 0.773118 1.075553 1.548439
2025-07-27 0.219960 0.298376 0.405539 0.565644 0.803958 1.154068 1.723731
2025-08-03 0.207206 0.286639 0.397771 0.568184 0.829422 1.225911 1.895586
2025-08-10 0.196878 0.277385 0.392527 0.573482 0.858760 1.305472 2.087779
2025-08-17 0.182887 0.261702 0.376552 0.560883 0.858581 1.337542 2.203343
2025-08-24 0.175391 0.255054 0.373426 0.567642 0.889393 1.422179 2.418586
2025-08-31 0.166036 0.244911 0.364153 0.563674 0.901839 1.476552 2.585165
2025-09-07 0.159171 0.238301 0.360111 0.568187 0.929483 1.560779 2.819816
2025-09-14 0.149972 0.227470 0.348675 0.559530 0.933591 1.603599 2.980599
2025-09-21 0.142219 0.218434 0.339481 0.553826 0.942144 1.654861 3.163954
2025-09-28 0.131771 0.204435 0.321272 0.531148 0.917891 1.641980 3.213157
2025-10-05 0.127770 0.200756 0.319956 0.537995 0.948590 1.737196 3.503370
2025-10-12 0.123864 0.196987 0.318200 0.543824 0.977695 1.831929 3.805367
2025-10-19 0.120173 0.193350 0.316409 0.549368 1.006576 1.928896 4.125942
2025-10-26 0.116213 0.189024 0.313125 0.551824 1.029428 2.015449 4.434392
2025-11-02 0.112928 0.185678 0.311348 0.556944 1.057985 2.116902 4.793850
2025-11-09 0.107229 0.177799 0.300990 0.544766 1.049761 2.137018 4.952261
2025-11-16 0.104629 0.175288 0.300229 0.551300 1.081344 2.249161 5.365110